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    OPEN HOUSE

    Here's where Houston ranks as a top U.S. housing market in 2021, according to experts

    Chantal Rice
    Jan 20, 2021 | 2:31 pm
    House for sale sign
    Real-estate experts say Austin will be the top housing market in the U.S. in 2021.
    iStock

    In news that is likely to surprise no one, experts say Houston will be one of the nation's hottest housing markets.

    According to the Q4 2020 Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey, real-estate experts, economists, and investment strategists say Houston will outperform the national housing market. The report, which was conducted by independent research company Pulsenomics, includes predictions about home-value growth in the largest 20 U.S. markets in 2021.

    Houston ranked 12th overall, with 32 percent of experts saying the Bayou City will outperform the national average.

    Also hardly surprising, Austin topped the survey as the No. 1 destination in 2021. Experts had previously predicted Austin’s housing market would be the hottest in 2020. By mid-December, when the median list price for homes in the Austin metro area had risen year-over-year by more than 23 percent — the biggest increase among the 50 largest U.S. markets — it was clear the Capital City would outpace all other large markets in 2020, according to the report.

    Driving the housing growth in Austin are a number of factors, among them the seemingly immense exodus of tech companies and workers from the West Coast to Central Texas. This presumption is supported by the Zillow report, which notes San Francisco and Los Angeles land at the bottom of the 20-city list in terms of predicted housing growth this year, alongside New York City.

    Even the New York Times recently noted the massive influx of techie San Franciscans moving to Central Texas, claiming Austin is their No. 1 relocation spot, with the paper saying it is the Texas city closest in spirit to the Bay Area and calling out recent news of growth in the local tech industry from such big-name players as Apple, Amazon, and Tesla.

    The Zillow report notes another reason Austin’s housing market is the hottest is because, well, it’s hot here. In fact, it is mostly Sun Belt cities, including Austin, Phoenix, Tampa, and Nashville, that are expected to outperform the nation’s housing growth in 2021.

    “These Sun Belt destinations are migration magnets thanks to relatively affordable, family-sized homes, booming economies, and sunny weather,” Jeff Tucker, a Zillow senior economist, said in a release. “Record-low mortgage rates and the increased demand for living space, coupled with a surge of millennials buying their first homes, will keep the pressure on home prices there for the foreseeable future.”

    Meanwhile, Dallas-Fort Worth claimed the No. 6 spot, with 54 percent of real-estate experts saying the area will outperform the national home-value-growth average.

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    out of reach

    This is how long it takes to save for a starter home in Houston right now

    Amber Heckler
    Oct 28, 2026 | 9:00 am
    Tri Pointe Homes home
    Photo courtesy of Tri Pointe Homes
    It now takes over a decade to save for your first home.

    A new national housing affordability report has confirmed something many renters already know: the possibility of owning a home is moving further out of reach for many renters across America.

    Becoming a new homeowner is especially challenging for households in several major U.S. metros — including Houston — where it now takes over a decade to save enough money for a down payment on a starter home.

    These findings were unveiled in a new study from The Julian Bond Institute for Financial Equity Research (JBI), a nonprofit research branch of the Center for Responsible Lending (CRL). The report comes as a result of its Project 2050 Survey that analyzed "Americans' financial aspirations across generations and racial groups and the obstacles they encounter in achieving them."

    JBI said Americans of all generations, racial backgrounds, and ethnicities haven't given up on "this aspect of the American dream," but the journey towards becoming a homeowner is "grow[ing] exceedingly challenging." In addition to saving for a down payment and closing costs, renters must also navigate high mortgage rates and high home prices. All of these combined factors have pushed monthly payments out of reach for most families.

    "There has been much coverage of the difficulty aspiring homeowners face in being able to afford the monthly payments on a home loan," the report said. "But less attention has been given to an equally important part of the housing affordability squeeze: The impact that higher home prices and the affordability crisis are having on the ability of families to save enough money to afford the upfront costs of homeownership."

    Using the results from a previous 2019 survey and the most recent survey results, JBI examined how many years it would take a typical renter family to save enough money to cover a down payment and closing costs for a starter home in the U.S. and in its 10 biggest metros.

    The report found that it now takes the typical Houston renter household 11 years to save for a starter home in 2026, up from 8 years in 2019. And Houston technically appears at the bottom of the list out of the 10 biggest U.S. metros.

    "At the opposite end of the spectrum, in Los Angeles, it would take 24 years [to save enough to buy a home]," the report said. "And in all these areas, there has been a sizable increase in the number of years required to save since 2019."

    For the typical American household, it now takes 16 years to save for a starter home, a figure that has doubled since 2019. That's based on an American median renter household income of $57,991, and an estimated saving rate of 2.63 percent. The report defines the saving rate as the percentage of a family’s income that can be set aside for the purchase of a home after expenditures, assuming that aspiring homeowner families can devote 75 percent of their savings toward a home purchase.

    "[This] translates to annual savings of roughly $1,525," the report found. "For such a family, it would take 16 years to accumulate enough savings to purchase a starter home [at the median price of $335,574]."

    Renter households that made $42,750 in income at a 3.96 saving rate would result in $1,693 saved for the purchase of a home in 2019. By those metrics, it would take the typical renter household eight years to save for a starter home at the 2019 median price of $217,520.

    This is how many years it takes to save for a starter home in the 10 biggest U.S. metros compared to 2019, from longest to shortest:

    • Los Angeles: 24 years, up from 14 years in 2019
    • New York City: 23 years, up from 10 years
    • Miami: 22 years, up from 10 years
    • Washington, D.C.: 16 years, up from 8 years
    • Chicago: 15 years, up from 8 years
    • Philadelphia: 15 years, up from 8 years
    • Phoenix: 15 years, up from 8 years
    • Atlanta: 13 years, up from 7 years
    • Dallas: 12 years, up from 7 years
    • Houston: 11 years, up from 8 years
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